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"pairs trading" active-investing after-tax returns asset allocation Bayesian investing Bayes Law capital gains cluster CPPI currency currency management defined benefit discretionary wealth diversification dynamic hedging Euro financial planning Fraud FX growth Hakansson hierarchical models index investing information ratio leverage long-term Markowitz mistakes nonlinear optimizer passive investing pension performance measurement prior distribution qualitative investing risk risk-adjusted return risk management Samuelson saving Sharpe Tax Alpha taxes tax loss harvesting time diversification